The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/26/2024 -
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Union Pacific (UNP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is oversoldPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Union Pacific (UNP). During the week, the UNP gained 10.71 points, or 4.61%, and closed at 242.79 on Friday, April 26, 2024. It was the best weekly gain since December 15, 2023. Weekly volume was 12% above average.

UNP is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See UNP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 23, 2023 at 183.69 and reached 258.66 on February 26, 2024. UNP gained -74.97 points, or -40.81%, in 48 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See UNP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 26, 2024 at 258.66 and reached 227.87 on April 17, 2024. UNP lost 30.79 points, or 11.90%, in 7 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (223.31) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. UNP may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See UNP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 22, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See UNP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 17, 2024 at 227.87 and reached 244.83 on April 26, 2024. UNP gained -16.96 points, or -7.44%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 12.03% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See UNP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.50
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.70
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.29
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.97
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 47.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.94
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 39.85
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.28
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 247.53
50 Day Moving Average 244.36
Price 242.79
Daily Stochastic Crossing 241.11
20 Day Moving Average 237.20
Weekly Trendline Resistance 235.81
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 231.85
Parabolic System 230.55
Lower Bollinger Band 228.59
Weekly Trendline Support 223.31
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 8
Industry Railroads 17
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 227.87
Low Date 04/17/2024
High 244.83
High Date 04/26/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 235.81
Support 223.31
High 258.66
High Date 02/26/2024
Low 227.87
Low Date 04/17/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 199.33
Low Date 10/06/2023
High 258.66
High Date 02/26/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 183.69
Low Date 03/23/2023
High 258.66
High Date 02/26/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 278.94
High Date 03/31/2022
Low 183.69
Low Date 03/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.