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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/19/2024 -
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Valero Energy (VLO) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Valero Energy (VLO). During the week, the VLO dropped -9.65 points, or -5.56%, and closed at 163.89 on Friday, April 19, 2024. Weekly volume was -30% below average.

VLO is a member of Energy Sector. Energy is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See VLO long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on May 4, 2023 at 104.18 and reached 184.79 on April 5, 2024. VLO gained -80.61 points, or -77.38%, in 48 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See VLO medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 9, 2023 at 119.88 and reached 184.79 on April 5, 2024. VLO gained -64.91 points, or -54.15%, in 21 weeks. The price is now at the 32.20% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VLO weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 19, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VLO short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 5, 2024 at 184.79 and reached 160.99 on April 18, 2024. VLO lost 23.80 points, or 12.88%, in 13 days. The price is now at the 12.18% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VLO daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 9, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.60
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.27
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.92
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 33.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.79
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.03
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.42
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 180.72
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 177.44
Parabolic System 174.88
20 Day Moving Average 172.74
Price 163.89
Daily Stochastic Crossing 162.63
50 Day Moving Average 158.02
Lower Bollinger Band 157.42
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Energy 12
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing 108
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 184.79
High Date 04/05/2024
Low 160.99
Low Date 04/18/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.79
High Date 04/05/2024
Low 160.99
Low Date 04/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 119.88
Low Date 11/09/2023
High 184.79
High Date 04/05/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 104.18
Low Date 05/04/2023
High 184.79
High Date 04/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 31.00
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 184.79
High Date 04/05/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.