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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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Duke Energy (DUK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Relative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineThe price touches the lower Bollinger Band
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It was the negative week for the Duke Energy (DUK). During the week, the DUK dropped -4.18 points, or -3.56%, and closed at 113.35 on Friday, September 25, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since July 31, 2026. DUK was trading at average weekly trading volume.

DUK is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DUK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 6, 2023 at 83.07 and reached 134.49 on March 17, 2026. DUK gained -51.42 points, or -61.90%, in 127 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (135.20) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. DUK may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DUK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 28, 2026 at 132.65 and reached 112.52 on September 25, 2026. DUK lost 20.13 points, or 15.18%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (116.49) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DUK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 1, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DUK short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2026 at 118.57 and reached 112.52 on September 25, 2026. DUK lost 6.05 points, or 5.10%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 13.72% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DUK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 10, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The price touches the lower Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 18.22
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 93.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 4.39
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 9.72
Strong Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.74
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 34.46
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.82
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.80
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.44
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Support 135.20
Upper Bollinger Band 122.94
50 Day Moving Average 122.16
20 Day Moving Average 118.38
Monthly Trendline Resistance 117.64
Monthly Trendline Support 116.49
Parabolic System 115.68
Price 113.35
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 113.30
Lower Bollinger Band 113.14
Daily Stochastic Crossing 112.82
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 1
Industry Electric Utilities 12
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 118.57
High Date 09/17/2026
Low 112.52
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 125.66
High Date 08/18/2026
Low 112.52
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 117.64
Support 116.49
High 132.65
High Date 07/28/2026
Low 112.52
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 134.49
High Date 03/17/2026
Low 112.52
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 139.13
Support 135.20
Low 83.07
Low Date 10/06/2023
High 134.49
High Date 03/17/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.