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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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Exelon Corp. (EXC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorOversold industryWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Relative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was the negative week for the Exelon Corp. (EXC). During the week, the EXC dropped -1.73 points, or -4.11%, and closed at 40.34 on Friday, September 25, 2026. Weekly volume was -18% below average.

EXC is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most oversold sector. EXC is a member of Multi-Utilities Industry. Multi-Utilities is the second most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See EXC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on February 9, 2024 at 33.35 and reached 50.65 on March 17, 2026. EXC gained -17.30 points, or -51.87%, in 109 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (45.83) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. EXC may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EXC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 17, 2026 at 50.65 and reached 39.73 on September 25, 2026. EXC lost 10.92 points, or 21.56%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 36.46 and resistance is at 46.97. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EXC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 24, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EXC short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 16, 2026 at 42.75 and reached 39.73 on September 25, 2026. EXC lost 3.02 points, or 7.06%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 20.20% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EXC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 29, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 17.58
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.48
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 10.77
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.86
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.88
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.00
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.10
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.31
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 46.97
Yearly Trendline Support 45.83
Upper Bollinger Band 45.03
50 Day Moving Average 44.47
20 Day Moving Average 42.74
Parabolic System 41.76
Price 40.34
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 40.25
Lower Bollinger Band 40.07
Daily Stochastic Crossing 39.93
Quarterly Trendline Support 36.46
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 1
Industry Multi-Utilities 2
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 42.75
High Date 09/16/2026
Low 39.73
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 46.43
High Date 08/18/2026
Low 39.73
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 48.54
High Date 07/07/2026
Low 39.73
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 46.97
Support 36.46
High 50.65
High Date 03/17/2026
Low 39.73
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 54.29
Support 45.83
Low 33.35
Low Date 02/09/2024
High 50.65
High Date 03/17/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.