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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 6/20/2025 -
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Kraft Hein (KHC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldBullish Ladder Bottom CandlestickThe price touches the lower Bollinger Band
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It was the negative week for the Kraft Hein (KHC). During the week, the KHC dropped -0.28 points, or -1.07%, and closed at 25.80 on Friday, June 20, 2025. Weekly volume was 72% above average.

KHC is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See KHC long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on May 10, 2022 at 44.87 and reached 25.53 on June 16, 2025. KHC lost 19.34 points, or 43.10%, in 161 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend support line (27.36) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See KHC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 25, 2024 at 38.96 and reached 25.53 on June 16, 2025. KHC lost 13.43 points, or 34.47%, in 59 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 24.68 and resistance is at 30.84. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See KHC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See KHC short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2025 at 33.35 and reached 25.53 on June 16, 2025. KHC lost 7.82 points, or 23.45%, in 98 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See KHC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price touches the lower Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See KHC candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Ladder Bottom Candlestick pattern. A Bullish Ladder Bottom pattern occurs in a downtrend, it may signal a trend reversal. The reliability of the Bullish Ladder Bottom pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Ladder Bottom Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 83.00
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.02
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.29
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.53
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 16.84
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.70
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.47
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.62
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.18
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 30.84
50 Day Moving Average 27.78
Yearly Trendline Support 27.36
Upper Bollinger Band 27.31
Parabolic System 26.59
20 Day Moving Average 26.42
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 25.99
Price 25.80
Lower Bollinger Band 25.77
Daily Stochastic Crossing 25.74
Monthly Trendline Support 24.68
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 1
Industry Packaged Foods & Meats 11
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 33.35
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 25.53
Low Date 06/16/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 36.53
High Date 09/05/2024
Low 25.53
Low Date 06/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 30.84
Support 24.68
High 38.96
High Date 04/25/2024
Low 25.53
Low Date 06/16/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 42.80
High Date 01/09/2023
Low 25.53
Low Date 06/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 37.80
Support 27.36
High 44.87
High Date 05/10/2022
Low 25.53
Low Date 06/16/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.